Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 72.265277 81.396465 90.716685 100.909131 111.710454 122.786683 134.974126
2025-11-23 57.025673 70.024172 83.888422 99.643076 116.923948 135.188930 155.843475
2025-11-30 49.344919 64.614204 81.425198 101.034751 123.030887 146.722143 173.956587
2025-12-07 43.622883 60.566176 79.752969 102.637599 128.783718 157.371324 190.656927
2025-12-14 37.579821 55.451177 76.275228 101.657402 131.164905 163.877330 202.406728
2025-12-21 32.009201 50.343532 72.339418 99.727009 132.096597 168.446573 211.712275
2025-12-28 30.004339 49.443451 73.255898 103.344632 139.304852 180.031561 228.838908
2026-01-04 27.483419 47.633313 72.868110 105.241080 144.368577 189.058192 242.975159
2026-01-11 24.188936 44.509264 70.618232 104.688044 146.378303 194.431853 252.824164
2026-01-18 21.295822 41.673330 68.537759 104.177536 148.302909 199.598430 262.343034
2026-01-25 19.132605 39.671335 67.395030 104.719324 151.404227 206.073353 273.320145
2026-02-01 16.731234 37.101546 65.341841 103.978807 152.837785 210.497058 281.839120
2026-02-08 14.835090 35.147868 64.039070 104.162128 155.408491 216.306262 292.048800
2026-02-15 12.742968 32.676642 61.884349 103.133256 156.397665 220.171292 299.935203
2026-02-22 11.579925 31.597521 61.601500 104.503844 160.345162 227.565268 311.974078
2026-03-01 10.600536 30.728994 61.556794 106.145918 164.604297 235.317497 324.428755
2026-03-08 9.027658 28.634478 59.612983 105.145518 165.437769 238.852655 331.813123
2026-03-15 7.403951 26.214414 57.040927 103.178592 164.947093 240.702585 337.124273
2026-03-22 7.193255 26.508639 58.573862 106.864924 171.756917 251.535114 353.251759
2026-03-29 6.625606 26.017371 58.861526 108.797003 176.276016 259.535096 365.963164
2026-04-05 5.616130 24.462062 57.408643 108.233607 177.498839 263.425527 373.684584
2026-04-12 4.724913 23.007801 56.030072 107.713516 178.733618 267.298946 381.361587
2026-04-19 4.105549 22.069906 55.429564 108.265474 181.356735 272.887486 391.114262